In a recent blog post, Seth Goin discussed the need for ongoing investment to maintain infrastructure. Whether a road or building or even your own skills, it takes regular care to avoid system failures or obsolesce. [Read more…]
All articles listed in reverse chronological order.
What’s Wrong With A Questioning Attitude?
What’s Wrong With A Questioning Attitude?
As a key attribute of High Reliability Organizations (HRO), what’s wrong with a questioning attitude? One the surface it would seem like this is something we would encourage all of our employees to do. Certainly they ask such questions because they seek legitimate answers, right? We wouldn’t want to discourage that behavior, would we? [Read more…]
Maximizing Oilfield Equipment Reliability
High reliability is expected of mature products with track records (low hazard rate). But new products with little or no track record (hazard rate = ?) are commercialized every day in the upstream industry. The technical objectives for new equipment always consist of performance targets, but should also include designing to maximize reliability. So, how does an OEM achieve this? The answer involves culture, capabilities, and best practices. [Read more…]
Living With The 6 Failure Patterns
How To Manage Each Failure Pattern With An Effective Maintenance Strategy
Most maintenance and reliability professionals have seen the six failure patterns (or failure hazard plots), described by Nowlan and Heap. In case you are unfamiliar with them, you can learn more about them in a previous article on them. Here is a quick summary to jog the memory, just in case.
- A. Bathtub Curve – accounts for approximately 4% of failures
- B. Wear Out – accounts for approximately 2% of failures
- C. Fatigue – accounts for approximately 5% of failures
- D. Initial Break-In – accounts for approximately 7% of failures
- E. Random – accounts for appoximately 14% of failures
- F. Infant Mortality – accounts for approximately 68% of failures
From the above, you can see that the majority of failures experenced are not directly related to age, but are the result of random or induced failures. So how does this help when establishing a maintenance program? First, we must understand what the patterns tell us.
What Types of Failure Modes Do The Failure Patterns Relate to?
Looking at the different failure patterns, we can group the types of failures into three unique groups;
- Age-Related failures – The term “life” is used to describe the point at which there is a rapid increase in the likelihood of failure. This is the point on the failure pattern before it curves up. Typically these types of failures can be contributed to wear, erosion, or corrosion and involve simple components that are in contact with the product.
- Random failures – The term “life” cannot be used to describe the point of rapid increase in the likelihood of failure, as there is no specific point. These are the flat parts of the failure curve. These types of failures occur due to some introduced defect
- Infant Mortality – The term “life” cannot be used here either. Instead, there is a distinct point at which the likelihood of failure drops dramatically and transitions to a random level.
Understanding these unique differences, an effective maintenance strategy can be developed.
What Maintenance Needs to Be Done for Each Failure Pattern?
The maintenance activity selected has to be right for the specific failure pattern. When looking at the failure patterns, there are three unique types of activities that can be put in place to address all points in the failure curve.
- Age-Related – These types of failures can be addressed through fixed time maintenance. Fixed time maintenance includes replacements, overhauls, and basic cleaning and lubrication. While cleaning and lubrication will not prevent the wear out or corrosion, it can extend the “life” of the equipment.
- Random – These types of failures need to be detected, as they are not predictable, or based on a defined “life.” The equipment must be monitored for specific indicators. These indicators may be changes in vibration, temperature, flow rates, etc. These types of failures must be monitored using Predictive or Condition monitoring equipment. Cleaning and basic lubrication can prevent the defects from occurring in the first place if done properly.
- Infant Mortality – These types of failures cannot necessarily be addressed through fixed time, predictive or condition-based maintenance programs. Instead, the failures must be prevented through proper design & installation, repeatable work procedures, proper specifications and quality assurance of parts.
Only when a maintenance program encompasses all of the above activities, can plant performance improve.
Determining the Right Frequency of Maintenance Activities for Each Failure Pattern
So with all of the activities taking place, how is it possible to know when each fixed time activity or condition monitoring inspection take place? The approach to determining the frequency of activities for fixed time and condition monitoring inspections are different. However, before the approaches are discussed, it should be noted that MTBF should NOT be used to determine the approach… EVER (sorry, the rant is over).
- Fixed Time Maintenance – The frequency for fixed time maintenance activities should be determined using a Weibull analysis. Also, there may be regulatory requirements which specify the frequency of these activities. This will provide an ideal frequency to perform these types of activities
- Condition Monitoring – The frequency for condition monitoring activities should be determined by using the P-F Curve and P-F Interval. This approach requires an understanding of the ability of monitoring technology, the defect being monitored, degradation rates, and the ability of the organization to react to the information gathered during the monitoring program. This will be furthered discussed in next weeks post.
I hope this has provided some clarity around how you should be using the six failure patterns in your maintenance strategy. Do you have specific activities in your program to address age-related, random and infant mortality failures? If you only have fixed time maintenance activities in your program, what are leaving on the table?
Remember, to find success; you must first solve the problem, then achieve the implementation of the solution, and finally sustain winning results.
I’m James Kovacevic
Eruditio, LLC
Where Education Meets Application
Follow @EruditioLLC
References;
Guide to Maintenance Planning and Scheduling
The cornerstones of effective maintenance management are maintenance planning and scheduling, which ensure that maintenance technicians are at the right place at the right time with the right tools. Effective maintenance planning and scheduling involve prioritizing and organizing work so that it is completed in the most efficient manner possible. The advantages of proper maintenance planning and scheduling include the following:
- More efficient use of labor hours
- Reduced equipment downtime
- Lower spare parts holdings
- Faster execution of jobs
- Cost savings
- Improved workflow
- Reduced injuries and stress
How to Identify and Manage Uncertainties of an Unpredictable Future
Guest Post by Patrick Ow (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)
On 31 December 2019, the World Health Organization (WHO) learned of several cases of severe pneumonia in the Chinese city of Wuhan. This strain of coronavirus has since spread through China and into other countries. WHO later named COVID-19.
The emergence of the coronavirus was exactly the type of fast-emerging risk with uncertain consequences that could have triggered quick actions by governments and organisations. Instead, it was played down or dismissed by many. They adopted a wait and see approach to risk management. [Read more…]
Planner help us solve the skills shortage problem!
Skilled labor is in short supply. Companies are struggling to find talent. Education systems throughout North America have done a poor job of producing ‘job ready’ graduates. Companies have cut back on training and apprentice program funding. Immigration programs did not prioritize the intake of needed and ready-to-us skills. Governments have been slow to see the problem and even slower to act on it. [Read more…]
The Untapped Gold in the World of Physical Asset Management is…
The most beautiful jewelry reminds me about something very important when it comes to Physical Asset Management. In our organizations, the untapped gold is… [Read more…]
Type I and Type II Errors When Sampling a Population
In hypothesis testing, we set a null and alternative hypothesis. We are seeking evidence that the alternative hypothesis is true given the sample data. By using a sample from a population and not measuring every item in the population, we need to consider a couple of unwanted outcomes. Statisticians have named these unwanted results Type I and Type II Errors. [Read more…]
The Top 11 Signs of a Shallow Cause Analysis (SCA)
We might be doing a Shallow Cause Analysis (SCA) if … [Read more…]
Is SPC Part of the Reliability Toolkit?
Statistical process control, SPC, is a set of tools to enable monitoring the stability of a process. SPC is also the first step to checking process capability with measures such as Cpk. Many consider SPC a quality or manufacturing tool. Yet, having and maintaining a stable process is also essential to creating a reliable product. Let me explain why. [Read more…]
Continuous Training Strengthens your Asset Reliability Program
By Guest Blogger Traci Hopkins, senior training & education advisor, SDMyers
Whatever style of workforce training your organization practices—on-the-job training, trade school, equipment-specific skills courses, internships, or external technical training—there is one thing that can amplify that training’s effectiveness and increase retention significantly: continuity. [Read more…]
The Importance of a Learning Culture
Ensuring Performance and Long Term Sustainability of Your Maintenance & Reliability Program
Imagine working in an organization that does not provide training or has zero tolerance to taking a risk, trying something new and failing. Or it is expected that you have all of the answers and do not need any assistance ever. Sound familiar? If it does, how is the performance of your plant? Chances are it is not as good as it could be. This example is great at illustrating what a learning culture does not look like.
“A learning culture is a set of organizational values, conventions, processes, and practices that encourage individuals—and the organization as a whole—to increase knowledge, competence, and performance.” A learning culture is vital to the long-term sustainability of any maintenance & reliability program and improving plant performance.
If you don’t have an organization that believes in training, or risk taking or learning from failure, what do you do? You can take steps to build a learning culture. The first step is to recognize the concern. The concern could be around cost, past returns on training, or experience that says the employee will leave after receiving the training. Whichever it is, it must be addressed.
Also, any organization can start to develop a learning culture by doing the following;
- Formalize training and development plans for each individual. These plans should include all mandatory training as well as specific training that will allow each person to grow in their current and future positions
- Give recognition to learning by promoting and celebrating those that learn new skills and gain new knowledge. As recognition is given to those with new skills, other will want to participate.
- Get feedback on the type, quality, and applicability of the training. This will ensure that relevant and effective training is being provided.
- Promote from within. This creates a willingness and desire to learn as the staff knows they have an opportunity to grow within the organization.
- Develop a knowledge management process. It should be a formal process with participation required by all.
I recently had the opportunity to work with two great organizations. Both organizations had recognized the need for assistance. They were looking to make improvements in areas in which they had no experience, but they had a willingness to learn. They did not want a “turn key” solution but instead wanted to build the capability of their internal team, let them develop the solution and implement the solution.
There was and will be some follow-up support, but here are two organizations that are not only investing in their people with training but allowing them to take the risk, learn and grow. Talk about ownership; these were some of the most passionate people that I have had the pleasure to work with. It is always a pleasure to work with organizations such as this, and I am truly enjoying watching the team come together and grow.
People are the heart of any improvement, so make sure you invest in them and create a learning culture. In closing, I ask you to think about the following, “What if we train the staff and leave?”, but the better question is “What if we don’t train them and they stay?”
Remember, to find success; you must first solve the problem, then achieve the implementation of the solution, and finally sustain winning results.
I’m James Kovacevic
Eruditio, LLC
Where Education Meets Application
Follow @EruditioLLC
References
Common Mistakes in a Capital Equipment Justification
Return on Investment Analysis (ROIA), sometimes referred to as Capital Equipment Justification, is the process of building and analyzing a financial model for the purpose of determining the net financial contribution of obtaining a major investment like a factory building or piece of production equipment.
ROIA is the link that connect the brilliant ideas of makers–the engineers, designers and builders—to the goals of the managers who hold organization’s purse strings. When thoroughly conducted, ROIA aligns the best estimates of the revenues and expenses related to a potential purchase with the years in which they will occur.
Making Risk Management More Effective, Relevant, and Value Adding
Guest Post by Patrick Ow (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)
This is where the achievement of objectives must be translated into tangible successes that are linked to positive outcomes.
Growth for growth’s sake is meaningless. Achieving objectives for the sake of it is meaningless unless you want to game the system and get your financial bonuses by meeting some meaningless performance targets. It becomes a meaningless compliance exercise. [Read more…]
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