When applied properly, SPC provides manufacturers a proven method to increase profitability and achieve a deeper understanding of their processes.. Additionally, SPC can prevent problems—saving companies money that would have been lost in scrap, rework, warranty, litigation, and market share decline. A key factor in obtaining these SPC benefits is the proper deployment of control charts. Correctly designed control charts identify significant changes to a process. These can be changes that are still within specification, but are statistically different than where the process was previously running. By identifying the changes, personnel can determine what caused the change and potentially improve the process or prevent the production of inferior products. [Read more…]
on Tools & Techniques
A listing in reverse chronological order of articles by:
- Dennis Craggs — Big Data Analytics series
- Perry Parendo — Experimental Design for NPD series
- Dev Raheja — Innovative Thinking in Reliability and Durability series
- Oleg Ivanov — Inside and Beyond HALT series
- Carl Carlson — Inside FMEA series
- Steven Wachs — Integral Concepts series
- Shane Turcott — Learning from Failures series
- Larry George — Progress in Field Reliability? series
- Gabor Szabo — R for Engineering series
- Matthew Reid — Reliability Engineering Using Python series
- Kevin Stewart — Reliability Relfections series
- Anne Meixner — Testing 1 2 3 series
- Ray Harkins — The Manufacturing Academy series
User Manual for Credible Reliability Prediction
The ASQ Reliability Division (RD), copyrighted the 2003 monograph “Credible Reliability Prediction” (CRP) but lost all copies circa 2014. I pestered the RD to let me republish CRP, because people asked “How do I make credible reliability predictions?” Copyright reversion to authors is accepted practice when a publisher no longer supports a document.
[Read more…]Conducting the Experiment
In this week’s article entry, we discuss some guidelines for conducting an experiment. As we discussed in an earlier post, planning the study is critical for a successful outcome. A good plan makes the conduct of the study straightforward.
Below are some key aspects of conducting the study: [Read more…]
Credible Reliability Prediction?
ASQ Reliability Division published “Credible Reliability Prediction” (CRP) in 2003. Harold Williams, Reliability Division monograph series editor, wrote, “[CRP] …delineates statistical methods that effectively extend MTBF prediction to complex, redundant, dependent, standby, and life-limited systems… This is the first text that describes a credible method of making age-specific reliability predictions…. This monograph presents insights and information inspired by real applications and [still] not covered in contemporary reliability textbooks.”
Closing the Manufacturing Skills Gap
Manufacturing companies are struggling with the persistent and growing problem of finding employees with the skills needed to sustain and grow their businesses. This problem is commonly called the “skills gap.” Other sectors like construction are also affected by this skills gap. But at the macroeconomic level, the skills gap in manufacturing is particularly profound because of the growth in other sectors that manufacturing influences.
Important DOE Techniques
In this article post, we discuss several important techniques to consider when conducting and analyzing an experiment. They are summarized in the table below and next we discuss each one in a bit more detail. Some of these techniques are bit more advanced (e.g. Blocking, Covariates), but they are introduced here. [Read more…]
How Should the Sample Size be Selected for an X-bar Chart? (Part II)
An earlier article focused on the conceptual application of appropriate sample sizes for X-bar charts. As we discussed, the purpose of control charts is to detect significant process changes when they occur. When the proper sample size is selected, X-bar charts will detect process shifts (that have practical significance) in a timely manner. [Read more…]
You’re Using the Wrong Average!
Imagine riding your motor scooter one sunny afternoon to your auntie’s home who lives near the sea, 20 miles from your home. On your trip there, the wind is at your back and the terrain slopes downward, resulting in an average speed of 25 mph. On the way home however, you’re motoring on a slight upward slope and into the wind, resulting in an average speed of 15 mph.
Relationship between FMEA and Risk Management – Part 2
FMEA has an important relationship with risk management. This article provides an example of this relationship.
The suggested sequence is to first read the article “Relationship between FMEA and Risk Management” to learn about the interactions between FMEA and Risk Management at a high level. [Read more…]
Planning for a DOE
In this article post, we discuss the suggested steps for planning a Designed Experiment.
Step #1 – Clearly Define the Problem and Objectives
It is critical to clearly define the problem before beginning experimentation. When the problem is not clearly defined and described, there will be confusion in designing and executing effective studies. To define appropriate responses to measure requires that the problem be understood and agreed on. Also, it is key to define the objectives of the actual experiment. If the problem is to reduce scrap rate, how much of a reduction is targeted? [Read more…]
Nonparametric Forecasts From Left-Censored Data
“Component D” had some failures in its first 12 months. How many more would fail in 36-month warranty? ASQ’s Quality Progress Statistics Roundtable published the data and Weibull analysis. The data included left-censored failure counts collected at one calendar time. The Weibull analysis included actuarial failure forecasts. This article describes nonparametric alternatives to Weibull and quantifies extrapolation uncertainty. The nonparametric forecasts are larger than the Weibull forecasts. Alternative extrapolations of nonparametric failure rates from data subsets quantify uncertainty. [Read more…]
How Should the Sample Size be Selected for an X-bar Chart? (Part I)
The purpose of control charts is to detect significant process changes when they occur. In general, charts that display averages of data/measurements (X-bar charts) are more useful than charts of individual data points or measurements. Charts of individuals are not nearly as sensitive as charts of averages at detecting process changes quickly. X-bar charts are far superior at detecting process shifts in a timely manner, and the sample size is a crucial element in ensuring that appropriate chart signals are produced. [Read more…]
How do I know what product or process characteristics to control?
While the construction of control charts is relatively straight-forward, often a more difficult question is “how do I know what process characteristic to control in the first place?” Clearly, controlling “everything” is not feasible or a smart use of limited resources. [Read more…]
Actuarial Forecasts, Least Squares Reliability, and Martingales
I learned actuarial methods working for the USAF Logistics Command. We used actuarial rates to forecast demands and recommend stock levels for expensive engines tracked by serial number, hours, and cycles. I had a hunch that actuarial methods could be applied to all service parts, without life data. [Read more…]
Basic DOE Terminology
In this article post, we formally define or describe the basic terminology that is commonly used in Design of Experiments. Some of the terms we have already been using in prior posts, but they will also be presented here for completeness. This is Part I of a two part article covering DOE Terminology. [Read more…]
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