A Complex System Implies a Run to Failure Strategy, Right?
Abstract
James and Fred discussing resistance to change within an organization, sometimes based on poor assumptions and misunderstood theorems.
Key Points
Join James and Fred as they discuss affecting change in an organization along with a listeners question on the assumption that they have a large complex system, therefore, Drenick’s theorem applied and they should use a run to failure strategy.
Topics include:
- The many ways change in an organization faces resistance
- Drenick’s Theorem and maintenance strategy
- A few tips on managing change within an organization
Enjoy an episode of Speaking of Reliability. Where you can join friends as they discuss reliability topics. Join us as we discuss topics ranging from design for reliability techniques to field data analysis approaches.
SOR 306 A Complex System Implies a Run to Failure Strategy, Right?James Kovacevic
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Show Notes
SOR 279 A Discussion About Drenick’s Theorem a podcast with Fred and Philip discussion Drenick’s Theorem.
A complex system in theory when given enough time will exhibit a constant failure rate of some magnitude – so says Drenick, Von Mises, and a few other notable mathematicians. The constant failure rate is the superposition of many underlying failure laws whose age or generation in service has become “mixed”. The pattern can be altered by a maintenance program. The key is understanding this and then designing a total maintenance strategy to combat this tendency and noting that this does not necessarily equate to a predetermined selection of run to failure strategies for all complex equipment. Perhaps its time we SOR’d again? 🙂