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by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Supply Chain Risk Management is the Hot New Career

Supply Chain Risk Management is the Hot New Career

Guest Post by Greg Hutchins (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

The idea of supply chain risk management has been around for about 10 years. It is only in the last 5 years, that it has become popular. We are still at the early stage of supply chain risk management adoption and deployment.

In terms of total dollar amount, external suppliers provide a significant portion of a manufacturer’s product. For U.S. firms, 50% to 80% or more of the final price of a product can be the cost of purchased goods.  In Japan, it can be even higher.

For these reasons, any supply disruption can kill a supply chain.  As a result, supply chain risk management is now critical to a company’s competitiveness. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

It Is All About Survivability

It Is All About Survivability

Guest Post by Geary Sikich (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

If you want senior management to pay attention give them something that challenges their focus – and understand that their focus is not on how many computers you have or RTO, RPO stats. It is on business survivability – will we be in business tomorrow given the issues that we face today. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Altered States: Risk Perception After the Event

Altered States: Risk Perception After the Event

Guest Post by Geary Sikich (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Heightened Awareness or Reactive, Backwards Looking?

From financial crises to energy catastrophes to earthquakes and threats of terrorism, we hear a lot about events that challenge our ability to identify and manage risk.

Unfortunately, some of the things that emerge from many of these events are reactive regulatory rules and requirements. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins 1 Comment

Black Swans, Grey Swans, White Swans

Black Swans, Grey Swans, White Swans

Guest Post by Geary Sikich (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

We hear a lot about things that are being called “Black Swans” today thanks to Nassim Taleb and his extremely successful book, “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable,” now in its second edition. I have written several articles centering on the “Black Swan” phenomenon; defending, clarifying and analyzing the nature of “Black Swan” events. And, I am finding that wildly improbable events are becoming perfectly routine events. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Risk Based Decision Making

Risk Based Decision Making

Guest Post by Ed Perkins (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Risk-based decision making is employed to implement risk management.

But how is this implemented? In this article, we will look at the process of making “risk-based” decisions.

Risk management is a process that involves several activities: [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: RBT, Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Poor Reliability: A Risk to Production

Poor Reliability: A Risk to Production

Guest Post by John Ayers (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Reliability is designed into a product.  Quality is built into a product.  Poor reliability is long term, difficult and expensive to rectify because it is woven into the fabric of the product.

Quality is a relative short term problem because once the badly written procedure, non-compliant material or poor workmanship is identified, it usually can be fixed relatively quickly with minimal impact to the program. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Risk Treatment Strategies

Risk Treatment Strategies

Guest Post by Greg Hutchins (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

When evaluating risk response strategies, executive management along with process owners must align risk responses with the organization’s risk appetite, business objectives, costs/benefits, and overall risk strategy/tactics. Risk response strategies and tactics may involve: [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

In a World of “Black Swans”, How Do You Know Which One to Worry About

In a World of “Black Swans”, How Do You Know Which One to Worry About

Guest Post by Geary Sikich (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Introduction

There’s always a story that explains why an event is a “Black Swan” – after the fact. Where are the “Black Swan” prognosticators before events occur? I see “after the fact” articles and statements, such as, “we knew that was coming” or “we predicted this” – all after the fact. Generally projections and predictions seem never to hold sway until after the fact. Predictions and projections never seem to occur when the prognosticator specifies — is it just that the timing never seems to work out – until after the fact. From Nostradamus to the “Bible Code” we are enamored with predictions – after the fact. Does there seem to be a theme developing here? [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Exposure Reduction and Mitigation

Exposure Reduction and Mitigation

Guest Post by Geary Sikich (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Exposure to threats, hazards, and risks leads to vulnerabilities that an organization must deal with.

Commonly these are addressed via a mitigation process. Once mitigation is accomplished, often times the organization feels that the risk, threat, hazard does not need to be revisited. However, as a result of the mitigation efforts on the part of the organization, the risks, threats, hazards reconfigure and re-emerge in a different form.

In order for mitigation to be successful, it has to be a constant and ongoing process that produces a resilience to the negative effects of risks, threats, and hazards that are realized. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

Risk Assessment: What Future are you Planning for?

Risk Assessment: What Future are you Planning for?

Guest Post by Geary Sikich (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Introduction 

There exists an overabundance of guidance for conducting risk assessments. Yet, it seems that we still have difficulty in getting risk assessments to reflect the appropriate level of concern for the identified risks that we are assessing. We also tend to view risk in relation to the place where we are employed and the industry that we work in. When we look at risk assessment from this perspective it should be clear that we are missing the point precisely, or at best, are being too narrowly focused, when it comes to assessing risk for our organizations. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Geary Sikich, Risk, Risk Assessment

by Greg Hutchins Leave a Comment

How Six Sigma Can Help You?

How Six Sigma Can Help You?

Guest Post by John Ayers (first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

Six Sigma is a powerful tool used to solve a problem or improve a process. The company (one of the 4 big defense companies) I worked for over 20 years lived, breathed and ate it every day. I became a six sigma specialist. For those readers not familiar with six sigma, I offer the following example to hopefully provide some insight into how it works and the benefits it offers.   [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CERM® Risk Insights, on Risk & Safety Tagged With: Risk

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Types of Risk

Types of Risk

Creating a product or maintaining equipment is actually about our ability to manage risk. The various risks are outlined below, and there are more to consider. This summary covers the basics related to reliability. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Reliability Management Tagged With: product development, Risk, safety, Types of Risk

by Andrew O'Connor Leave a Comment

Common Cause Failures

Common Cause Failures

A guest post by Andrew O’Connor, of Relken Engineering Pty Ltd

Common Cause Failures (CCF) is one of the reasons why a classical reliability model of your system may dangerously underestimate the risk of failure. It directly attacks the benefits of providing redundancy by creating a single point of failure. In fact, studies have shown that CCF events may contribute between 20% – 80% of the unavailability of safety systems within nuclear reactors [Werner 1994]. This post will “Describe this type of failure (also known as common cause mode failure) and how it affects design for reliability. (Understand)” [CRE BOK III.A.4] [Read more…]

Filed Under: CRE Prep, CRE Preparation Notes, Reliability in Design and Development Tagged With: Common mode failure analysis, Risk

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