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by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Wrong Conclusions

Here is a podcast by Chris Peterson of H and H Environmental Systems which includes her thoughts on the MTBF topic. She also explores how making even ‘obvious’ assumptions may lead to the wrong conclusions.

[soundcloud url=”http://soundcloud.com/handh-testing-lab/aug-7-podcast-using”]

Chris records a podcast almost everyday and many are enjoyable, fun, and and provide something to think about as you go about your day. If you like the podcast above, check out her growing list of available podcasts.

Embedded podcast with permission of Chris.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: MTBF, percentages

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Use Lognormal Distribution

The lognormal distribution has two parameters, μ and σ. These are not the same as mean and standard deviation, which is the subject of another post, yet they do describe the distribution, including the reliability function.

$latex \displaystyle R(t)=1-\Phi \left( \frac{\ln (t)-\mu }{\sigma } \right)$

Where Φ is the standard normal cumulative distribution function, and t is time. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Lognormal

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Where does 0.7eV come from

This post is a conversation first held on the LinkedIn group No MTBF. I’m capturing a portion of the contributions here to continue the discussion or to widen the audience. Reminds me of always assuming 95% confidence is the right value when designing a test, or assuming constant failure rate. So, let the conversation continue, starting with the original post. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: popular

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Datasheet MTBF

Some many years ago I ran across a data sheet for a cooling fan (used to cool a desktop computer, for example) that listed the fan’s life as 50,000 hours MTBF. The big bold lettering was on the data sheet and was the only use of bold on the entire data sheet. One couldn’t miss it. The computers we used these fans within had a one year warranty, plus were expected to operate for a home computer user for about 5 years. Thus, we would expect the fan to also operate for five years without failure. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: MTBF, reliability

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

I must not MTBF

I must not MTBF. MTBF is the mind-killer. MTBF is the little-death that brings total obliteration. I will face my MTBF. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the MTBF has gone there will be nothing. Only Reliability will remain.

  • Bene Gesserit Litany Against Fear. (with apologies)

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Fear, MTBF

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

5 Reliability Training Options

Just answered a question on where to find reliability engineering training on basics and statistics. There are plenty of options and below I’m listing just where to find the many, many options available to you. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: basics, education, reliability, statistics

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Why HALT is not HALT

An excellent short white paper by Craig Hillman that is worth reading. It underscores whey I claim HALT is the second worst 4 letter acronym in our profession. See the paper at http://www.dfrsolutions.com/uploads/white-papers/Why_HALT_Is_Not_HALT.pdf

Filed Under: Uncategorized

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Acceleration factors

Acceleration factors
gear used for a rock climbing anchor
Gear for anchor during rock climbing

Temperature acceleration factor for ALT planning (question posted to Linkedin Society of Reliability engineers group, 5/7/12

Hello, can anyone advise me how to calculate temperature acceleration factor for a complex system including cards, RF elements, cables, motors and moving parts? Is the Arrhenius model valid for such systems, or there are more precise models? Thank you! [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: acceleration, Arrhenius, factor, reliability

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

System or component testing

Fred i was asked this question and wanted to know what your thoughts were on this. R and D asked me what was the criteria to decide if to test at a component level or at a system level , my answer was that it should depend on what is the reliability and confidence level of the component
your thoughts? [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: ALT, component, FMEA, HALT, life testing, system

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Parts count variation

Just a short post to point to a newly added paper to the reference section. A few years ago I recalled seeing a paper that studied the difference to expect between various parts count methods and actual results. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: parts count, prediction, Product Reliability, reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

No Evidence of Correlation: Field failures and Traditional Reliability Engineering

Historically Reliability Engineering of Electronics has been dominated by the belief that 1) The life or percentage of complex hardware failures that occurs over time can be estimated, predicted, or modeled and 2) Reliability of electronic systems can be calculated or estimated through statistical and probabilistic methods to improve hardware reliability.  The amazing thing about this is that during the many decades that reliability [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: field failure correlations, HALT, MIL HNBK 217, Reliability predictions, root cause, testing

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Graphical Analysis of Repair Data

With the kind permission of Wayne Nelson and Robert Abernathy we are posting an article on the analysis of repair data. As you may know, the assumptions made when using simple time to failure analysis of repairable systems may provide misleading results. Using the analysis method outlined by Wayne is one way to avoid those costly mistakes. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: cost, mcf, mean cumulative function, plots

by nomtbf Leave a Comment

Problems survey

Filed Under: Uncategorized

by Pete Stuart Leave a Comment

Shaping Organizational Behavior

When conducting a Human Reliability Assessment (HRA) we use the terminology: errors of commission or errors of omission. It behoves every professional to question why we focus upon one metric in preference to all others, in an objective and constructive manner in order to discern whether we are exposing our organization to errors of professional omission or commission. Obviously the other conclusion is that we are doing the right thing and this is also an empowering piece of knowledge. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Behavior, metrics, MTBF

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